Researchers predict that a severe weather pattern known as 'Godzilla El Nino' might cause an estimated 373,000 extra heat-related fatalities globally over the upcoming six months, placing nations throughout Africa and Asia at extreme risk.
Researchers at the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab identified areas most susceptible to high temperatures during the anticipated El Nino period running from October 2026 to March 2027.
Calculations show Nigeria might suffer 56,000 extra heat-related deaths, and India could face another 55,000. Indonesia also deals with high dangers, expecting 29,000 extra fatalities. In addition, Brazil may report about 19,000 deaths tied to severe heat.
Experts cautioned that the emerging climate pattern might rank among the most powerful El Nino events ever recorded, generating anxiety over global public health and weather disruptions.
What Is Godzilla El Nino?
El Nino represents a natural climate cycle happening when ocean surface temperatures warm up abnormally in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. It alters global weather systems, driving droughts, floods, and severe heatwaves.
This cycle generally happens every two to seven years, though its intensity and consequences differ per event.
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration calculated an 83% chance that the incoming El Nino hits historic levels from October to December 2026. At the same time, the World Meteorological Organization cautioned that the event might drive up global temperatures and produce harsher weather.
Investigators note the forecasted mortality is a prediction instead of a certain result. Real fatalities will rely on weather patterns and actions authorities implement to safeguard vulnerable groups.
Early warning networks, cooling facilities, better medical care, and bans on outdoor labor during hazardous heat may lower the fatality count.
